Market Timing

The title above kind of speaks for itself.  Rather that me going on about what happened so far in 2020, and my opinions as to why, let's just get to the point.  In 2020 YTD, the SPY is down -29% and the MIPS models are down only -3%. That, we are very proud of. 
 
Graph #1 - In 2020, SPY -29%
 More Bad News - The SPY hit and fell below its last support level (#3 below) and the next one is "way down".

Graph #2 - In 2020, MIPS -3%  (from TimerTrac.com)
More Good News -- If the SPY goes down further, MIPS will go up higher (as in 2008, to over +50%)

Note: The above charts from TimerTrac.com are calculated from actual, verified signals from MIPS (all MIPS models

issued the same signals in 2020). When MIPS models issue a signal after the market close, MIPS members are to trade

on the next days open. The calculated numbers are not 100% equal to the numbers from real trades because: (a) signals 
issued to trade on the open may execute 2-3 minutes late (and 3-4% different than the open), and (b) buying the SH is not

quite the same as shorting the SPY, and (c) the SPY is not exactly the same as the S&P Index which it follows. 
The GOOD NEWS is that these number are indeed close enough for us to analyze and track our performance.

Good Trading...

Paul Distefano, PhD

Founder / Owner
MIPS Timing Systems, LLC
Houston, TX

281-251-MIPS(6477)
www.mipstiming.com

In the graph below, you can see that the SPY is sitting just on top of it's last support level from Dec'19  ("Support 3").

If the SPY breaks Support 3, there is not another one until way, way down (like near a real "Bottom").

- all of the MIPS models (except MIPS1) are "Short", so we are not worried, yet !!!

Paul Distefano, PhD
MIS Timing Systems, LLC
Houston, TX

281-251-MIPS(6447)

Big news is giving investors a rough time. This is mainly because, independent of the bad news they are preaching (mainly Virus), it is bad news for us whether it true is or not.  Remember, the markets can tolerate "actual" bad news, but it cannot tolerate "Uncertainty" !!!   And remember, in times like this, markets take the stairs up and the elevator (or jumps) down.

The market (SPY) has reached what I would call a critical support level on the close today at about $274.36.  Before a real bad total "CRASH" takes place, the SPY has only one more "support level" (at $234.34 or almost 15% lower than today's close) before free falling. Just going to that support level after what we are going through now will feel almost as bad as a total "crash".  We need to watch the next few days carefully. Of course, we could almost guarantee that MIPS would go short well before taking a fall like that (unless it happens in one day).
 

Paul Distefano, PhD

CEO / Founder

MIPS Timing Systems
Houston, TX

www.mipstiming.com